Program Longevity Risk


 

Thursday September 25th 2008

De Grote Kerk, Naarden-Vesting



08.00

Buses departing from Mövenpick Hotel in Amsterdam to the Grote Kerk in Naarden-Vesting



08.30 - 09.15

Registration



09.15 - 09.30

Opening by Dr. David Blake (chairman)

Longevity risk and capital markets solutions: An update



09.30 - 10.00

Joanne Kellermann, Executive Director of De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB)

Longevity risk and regulation of pension funds



10.00 - 10.30

Anton Kunst, Netspar and Associate Professor of Medical Demography, Erasmus MC

Epidemiological perspectives on life expectancy



10.30 - 11.00

Gilles Dellaert, vice president in Goldman Sachs' Longevity Markets Group

Longevity: A Developing Asset Class



11.00 - 11.25

Break



11.30 - 12.10

Workshop Parallel session 1 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 1A


Bart Oldenkamp, Cardano

Hedging Longevity Risk for DB Pension Funds: an ALM perspective


Workshop 1B


Marcos Flores, Credit Suisse
Overview UK Longevity Market: Size, Players, Structures and Pricing


Workshop 1C


Michael Sherris, Australian School of Business

Securitization, structuring and Pricing of Longevity Risk


Workshop 1D


Edward Whitehouse, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development

Life-Expectancy Risk and Pensions: Who Bears the Burden?



12.15 - 12.55

Workshop Parallel session 2 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 2A


Mark Warshawsky, Watson Wyatt Worldwide

Optimizing the Equity-Bond-Annuity Portfolio in Retirement: The Impact of Uncertain Health Expenses


Workshop 2B


Nicholas Verwilghen, EIM

The three big risks trade-off: interest rates, inflation and longevity - Lessons learnt by a multi-manager


Workshop 2C


Jochen Russ, LMU Munich

On the Pricing of Longevity-Linked Securities


Workshop 2D


Mario Michael Schultz, Deutsche Börse
Xpect Data and Xpect Indices - Longevity Risk Evaluation and Risk Transfer


13.00 - 13.45

Lunch Buffet



13.50 - 14.00

Opening part 2 by Theo Nijman (chairman)



14.00 - 14.45

Søren Fiig Jarner, Chief Analyst of ATP

Small-region mortality modelling



14.45 - 15.15

Ronald Wuijster, Director of Strategy & Research at APG Investments

Longevity problems and investment solutions



15.15 - 15.45

Guy Coughlan, Managing Director and Global Head of LifeMetrics and ALM Advisory JP Morgans Pension Solutions Group

The effectiveness of longevity hedges and the attractiveness of longevity investments



15.45 - 16.15

Break



16.15 - 16.55

Workshop Parrallel session 3 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 3A


Hal Pedersen, University of Manitoba

Mortality Risk Modelling: Applications to Insurance Securitization


Workshop 3B


Laurens Swinkels, Robeco

Longevity hedge: The next generation in Liability Driven Investing


Workshop 3C


Kevin Dowd, Nottingham University Business School

Backtesting Stochastic Mortality Models: An Ex-Post Evaluation of Multi-Period-Ahead Density Forecasts


Workshop 3D


Erik Tornij, ING

Modelling and Pricing Longevity Risk in the Dutch Insurance Market: Challenging Topics & Practical Solutions


Workshop 3E


Anja De Waegenaere, Tilburg University

Longevity Risk in Annuity Portfolios: The Effect of Product Design and Portfolio Composition



17.00 - 18.00

Panel discussion with voting on statements




·  Tom Boardman Director, Group Policy Development, Prudential plc


·  Henk van Broekhoven, ING


·  David Blake, Professor of Pension Economics and Director, Pensions Institute at Cass Business School London


·  Theo Kocken, founder and CEO, Cardano Group


·  Lex Hoogduin, Global Chief Economist, Robeco


·  Gavin Jones, Vice president, Swiss Re


·  Guy Coughlan, Managing Director and Global Head of LifeMetrics and ALM Advisory, JPMorgan’s Pension Solution Group


·  Onno Steenbeek, head of Corporate ALM and Risk Policy of the All Pensions Group, APG



18.00 - 18.10

Closing by Theo Nijman



18.15 - 19.00

Drinks



19.00 - 21.00

Walking Dinner



21.00

Buses departing to hotel in Amsterdam





Friday September 26, 2008

Mövenpick Hotel Amsterdam



08:30 - 9:15

Registration


09:15 - 09:55

Workshop Parallel session 4 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 4A


Min-Hung Tsay, National Central University

Pricing Survivor Swaps with Mortality Jumps and Default Risk


Workshop 4B


Hua Chen, Temple University

Longevity Risk Premium, Extreme Value Approach and Risk Cubic Pricing


Workshop 4C


Anthony Webb, Boston College

Evaluating the Advanced Life Deferred Annuity - An Annuity People Might Actually Buy


Workshop 4D


Hong-Chih Huang, Chengchi University

Optimal Asset Allocation Incorporating Longevity Risk in Defined Contribution Pension Plans



10:00 - 10.40

Workshop Parallel session 5 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 5A


Sharon Yang, National Central University

Modeling Longevity Risk:An Empirical Study


Workshop 5B


Jennifer Wang, National Chenchi University

Liabilty Allocation under Mortality Systematic Risk, Non-parallel Shift, and Parameter Uncertainty


Workshop 5C


Paul Hance, AEGON

Using Survivorship Bonds to Reduce an Economy's Aggregate Value-at-Risk


Workshop 5D


Jean Pinquet, University Paris 10

Long-Term Care: Risk Description of a Spanish Portfolio and Economic Analysis of the Timing of Insurance Purchase



10.40 - 11.00

Break



11.00 - 11.45

Workshop Parallel session 6 (abstracts see information)




Workshop 6A


Enrico Biffis, Imperial College

Securitizing and Tranching Longevity Exposures


Workshop 6B


Atsuyuki Kogure, Yoshiyuki Kurachi, Keio University
A Bayesian Evaluation of Longevity Risk: Model comparison, Measuring and Pricing


Workshop 6C


Jack C. Yue, National Chengchi University

Age-Period-Cohort Model and its Application to Taiwan Mortality Rates by Marriage Status


Workshop 6D


CANCELLED

 



11.45 - 14.30

Networking event including lunch (canal tour)





Guest price for Program excluding Networking event is € 200,- excl. VAT

Guest price for the Networking event incl. canal tour and lunch is € 50,- excl. VAT